WARNING: Just in case you didn't understand the gist of the title of this post, let me remind you - THERE ARE SPOILERS HERE. DO NOT CONTINUE IF YOU DON"T WANT TO KNOW. Otherwise, click away.
Season 5 race chasing (a.k.a. spoilers) has not been easy. There were few sightings, and fewer people bragging on social media. I suppose we'll never have another season 2 again. Oh well. Anyone claiming to have an exact elimination order is full of crap. They are speculating. For this reason, I've divided the spoilers into 3 sections: The First Outs; Middle of the Pack; and Final Three. I also tell you where each team was last seen and I will clearly mark my speculation, where I have an opinion.
Also, please be aware of two things:
- "Last Seen" means exactly that. It does NOT mean a team was eliminated on that leg.
- With 10 teams and 11 legs, there should be THREE Non-elimination legs (NELs) and/or Keep-on-Racing legs (KORs). The first three legs were definitely ELIMINATION legs. This much is certain. I strongly suspect Leg 4 is the first NEL.
THE FIRST OUTS:
These three teams did NOT make it out of the country to Leg 4. How do we know this? Because there were only 7 teams in Beijing and these 3 didn't show up.
AARON & DEB – MOTHER & SON
Age: 30
Current City: Grand Forks, B.C.
Occupation: Funeral Director
Twitter: @blandaaron86
Deb Baker
Age: 54
Current City: Grand Forks, B.C.
Occupation: Funeral Director
Twitter: @undertakerdebb
LAST SEEN: At Gassy Jack statue in Vancouver's Gastown and tightrope task at Fairmont Hotel Vancouver (Leg 1)
MY SPECULATION: Unless the cousins had some sort of complete failure or injury a la Season 2, my money is on TARC burying the morticians. It's a good thing they wore their suits.
Age: 23
Current City: Corner Brook, N.L.
Occupation: Biomedical Engineering Student
Twitter: @meganburden | Instagram: @mburden
Courtney Roberts
Age: 21
Current City: Corner Brook, N.L.
Occupation: Social Work Student
Twitter: @crobbs2662 | Instagram: @courtney2662
LAST SEEN: Rough description (no picture evidence) of "girl with blonde hair" doing Roadblock at Fairmont Hotel Vancouver. (Leg 1)
MY SPECULATION: We've seen this before. A team is not seen at all after either the start line or the first leg. We've also been fooled before by this. Like I said, just because a team is not seen after a certain point, it does not necessarily mean they are eliminated there. Remember Season 2's Jen & Shawn King? Yea, like that. So take your pick. The first out is probably Aaron & Deb. I kind of believe Megan and Courtney are eliminated in leg 3 in Nelson, BC. But that's today. Ask me again tomorrow.
"TOMORROW" UPDATE: Yes, I know Megan and Courtney are a strong team and you think there is no way a team who won Leg 2 can find themselves in last place in Leg 3. But many things can suddenly turn against any team on the race. Like I said above, Megan and Courtney did not get to Leg 4 in Beijing.
DAN & RIYA – YOUTUBE CREATORS
Dan Kipnis
Name: Dan Kipnis
Age: 23
Current City: Toronto, Ont.
Occupation: YouTube Creator
Twitter: @dankipnis | Instagram: @dankipnis
Riya Malik
Name: Riya Malik
Age: 23
Current City: Toronto, Ont
Occupation: YouTube Creator
Twitter: @itsriyamalik | Instagram: @itsriyamalik
LAST SEEN: Maybe on the way to Nelson, B.C. (Leg 3) Maybe. But the photo evidence is a little sketchy and open to interpretation.
MY SPECULATION: We may not have had a lot of spoilers this season but I can 100% confirm Daniel & Riya did not make it to Beijing. Who's surprised? Let's face it. There are far stronger teams this season.
THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK:
ZED & SHABBIR – FATHER & SON
Age: 27
Current City: Vancouver, B.C.
Occupation: National Account Manager – Healthcare
Twitter: @zed.dhalla & @BeardandtheBald | Instagram: @cheddarburg
Shabbir Dhalla
Age: 57
Current City: Coquitlam, B.C.
Occupation: Manager Director – Hospitality
LAST SEEN: At the Great Wall of China, Beijing (Leg 4)
MY SPECULATION: The next team eliminated (i.e. finishing in 7th place) is a toss up between Zed & Shabbir and Andrea & Ebonie. Chances are that Beijing (Leg 4) is the first of 3 NEL/KOR. My gut tells me Zed and Shabbir go first, mainly because there is a picture of Ebonie smiling in Shanghai (Leg 5) - who'd smile if they are in trouble and afraid of elimination?
ANDREA & EBONIE – BUSINESS PARTNERS
Age: 29
Current City: Montréal, Que.
Occupation: Yoga Teacher and Founder of I Breathe Fitness
Instagram: @andrea.croxen & @ibreathefitnessretreats
Ebonie Roberge
Age: 29
Current City: Montréal, Que.
Occupation: Fitness Consultant and Founder of I Breathe Fitness
Instagram: @eb_finley & @ibreathefitnessretreats
LAST SEEN: Smiling while crossing the street in Shanghai, China (Leg 5)
MY SPECULATION: Don't count on Andrea and Ebonie being the next Steph and Kristen. Or even the next Nat and Meg. It's not happening. Oh, I have no doubt they are a very strong team, but there are at east 5 teams who will outdo them. They'll either finish in 7th or 6th place...see my spec of Zed and Shabbir (above).
Age: 29
Current City: Montréal, Que.
Occupation: Bartender
Instagram: @cavy13
Andrea Cavaleri
Age: 28
Current City: Montréal, Que.
Occupation: Graphic Designer
Instagram: @drecavaleri
LAST SEEN: Running hard in Panama City (Leg 8)
MY SPECULATION: Just like Zed & Shabbir and Andrea & Ebonie, I cannot confirm the eimination order between Adam & Andrea and Karen & Bert. These two teams will finish in either 6th or 7th place.
KAREN & BERT – MARRIED COUPLE
Age: 31
Current City: Edmonton, Alta.
Occupation: Social Worker
Twitter: @teamrichardss | Instagram: @teamrichardss
Bert Richards
Age: 36
Current City: Edmonton, Alta.
Occupation: Owner of a small moving and delivery company, Musician
Twitter: @teamrichardss | Instagram: @teamrichardss
LAST SEEN: Dressed as Vikings at Gros Morne National Park, Newfoundland (Leg 7). Unconfirmed sighting in Panama (Leg 8).
MY SPECULATION: Karen and Bert were frequently spotted during filming and appear to be a VERY determined, strong team. How strong? They beat Kenneth & Ryan, Sam & Paul and Adam & Andrea to the 2X U-Turn in Ottawa...then chose not to use it. If I had to guess, I'd say they finish in 4th place in the penultimate leg.
Speculation UPDATE: Do Karen and Bert use their Express Pass in Ottawa? Is that how they beat everyone to the 2X U-Turn board?
THE FINAL THREE
If there are doubts and uncertainty over the four teams in the middle of the pack, let me ease your mind and tell you the Final 3 are: Sam & Paul; Kenneth & Ryan; and Korey & Ivana. However, if you're asking who the Season 5 winner is, then you are shit outta luck. I don't know. Yeah, really. I don't.SAM & PAUL – DATING COUPLE
Age: 25
Current City: Toronto, Ont.
Occupation: Student
Instagram: @slamchop
Paul Mitskopoulos
Age: 24
Current City: Toronto, Ont.
Occupation: Account Manager, LinkedIn Canada
Twitter: @pmitskop | Instagram: @paulmits
LAST SEEN: Near Bike Taxi task, Quebec City (Leg 11). This was by verbal description only.
MY SPECULATION: I expect we will see competition between Sam & Paul and Kenneth & Ryan. During filming, these two teams continually outpace each other. There will be more drama when Sam & Paul U-Turn Kenneth & Ryan in Ottawa.
KENNETH & RYAN – BEST FRIENDS
Age: 25
Current City: Collingwood, Ont.
Occupation: Chef
Twitter: @team_giver | Instagram: @teamgiver & @kenneth.mcalpine
Ryan Lachapelle
Age: 25
Current City: Collingwood, Ont.
Occupation: Events Coordinator at Red Mountain Resort
Twitter: @team_giver | Instagram: @teamgiver & @ryangiver
LAST SEEN: Ryan seen retrieving clue over Montmorency Falls, Quebec (Leg 11) Photographic identification.
MY SPECULATION: I really think the finale this season is going to be brutal with these three very strong teams. If I absolutely had to pick one team to win, it would be a guess and I'd have to give it to these two. In the few sightings we had, Kenneth & Ryan seemed to show up at tasks ahead of Sam & Paul and Korey & Ivana - even if only by a hair.
KOREY & IVANA – BEST FRIENDS
Age: 31
Current City: Toronto, Ont.
Occupation: Personal Trainer
Twitter: @koachkore | Instagram: @koachkore
Ivana Krunic
Age: 30
Current City: Toronto, Ont.
Occupation: Personal Trainer/Substitute Teacher
Twitter: @ivana_krunic | Instagram: @ivanaBodyFiTiK
LAST SEEN: Korey seen retrieving clue over Montmorency Falls, Quebec (Leg 11). Ivana spotted on Bike Taxi task. Both sightings were by photographic identification.
MY SPECULATION: This is the team I am rooting for because they would be the first co-ed team to win The Amazing Race Canada. And if I am rooting for them, that can only mean one thing - they won't win. I hope I am wrong.
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